Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of February 10

February 11

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - January

103

103

JOLTS - December

6.700M

6.800

February 12

Treasury Budget - January

$11.5B

-13.3

February 13

Initial Unemployment Claims

215K

202

212

Consumer Price Index - January

0.2%

0.2

0.2

Core CPI

0.2

0.1

0.2

February 14

Retail Sales - January

0.3%

0.3

0.3

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.4

0.7

0.3

Export Prices - January

0.0%

-0.2

0.0

Import Prices

-0.3

0.3

-0.3

Industrial Production - January

-0.4%

-0.3

-0.2

Manufacturing Output

0.0

0.2

0.0

Capacity Utilization

76.8

77.0

76.8

Business Inventories - December

0.1%

-0.2

0.1

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (p)

99.3

99.8

99.3

Week of February 17

February 18

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

4.0

4.8

4.5

NAHB Index - February

73

75.0

74

February 19

Producer Price Index - January

0.2%

0.1

0.2

Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services)

0.2

0.1

Housing Starts - January

1.400M

1.608

1.395

Building Permits

1.420

1.416

1.43

February 20

Philadelphia Fed Survey

8

17

10

Leading Indicators - January

0.1%

-0.3

0.3

February 21

Existing Home Sales - January

5.350M

5.540

5.46