Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 6 And April 13
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
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Week of April 6 |
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April 7 |
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JOLTS - February |
6.963 |
|||
Consumer Credit - February |
$15.0 |
12.0 |
14.0 |
|
April 9 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
3.000M |
6.648 |
5.000 |
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - April (p) |
80.0 |
89.1 |
75 |
|
Wholesale Inventories - February |
-0.5% |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
|
Producer Price Index - March |
-0.1% |
-0.6 |
-0.3 |
|
PPI less food, energy and trade services |
0.2 |
-0.1 |
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April 10 |
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Consumer Price Index - March |
-0.3% |
0.1 |
-0.3 |
|
Core CPI |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
Treasury Budget - March |
-$120B |
-235.3 |
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Week of April 13 |
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April 14 |
||||
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - March |
90 |
105 |
||
Export Prices - March |
-2.0% |
-1.1 |
||
Import Prices |
-3.0 |
-0.5 |
||
Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum |
-0.2 |
0.2 |
||
April 15 |
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Retail Sales - March |
-1.5% |
-0.5 |
||
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
-0.7 |
-0.4 |
||
Retail Sales, ex-Autos, Gas |
-0.7 |
-0.3 |
||
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
-35.0 |
-22.5 |
||
Industrial Production - March |
-5.0% |
0.6 |
||
Capacity Utilization |
72.0 |
77.0 |
||
Business Inventories - February |
-0.4% |
-0.1 |
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NAHB Index - April |
65 |
72 |
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April 16 |
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Housing Starts - March |
1.300M |
1.599 |
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Building Permits |
1.300 |
1.464 |
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Philadelphia Fed Survey |
-30.0 |
-12.7 |
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April 17 |
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Leading Indicators - March |
-7.0% |
0.1 |
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Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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