E Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 11 And 18

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

     
 

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

 

Week of February 11

       

February 12

       

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - January

104.4%

104.4

   

JOLTS - December

7.000M

6.888

   

Treasury Budget - January

-$12.0B

n/a

-12.0

 
         

February 13

       

Consumer Price Index - January

0.1%

-0.2

0.1

 

Core CPI

0.2

0.2

0.2

 
         

February 14

       

Producer Price Index - January

0.1

-0.2

0.1

 

Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services)

0.2

0.0

0.2

 
         

Business Inventories - November

0.1%

0.6

0.1

 

Business Inventories - December

0.1%

n/a

0.2

 
         

February 15

       

Retail Sales - January

0.1%

n/a

0.1

 

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.2

n/a

0.2

 

Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas

0.4

n/a

0.4

 
         

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

11.5

3.9

7.0

 
         

Export Prices - February

-0.2%

-0.6

-0.1

 

Import Prices

0.0

-1.0

-0.1

 

Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum

-0.2

0.3

   
         

Industrial Production - January

0.2%

0.3

0.1

 

Manufacturing Output

0.2

1.1

0.1

 

Capacity Utilization

78.8

78.7

78.7

 
         

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (p)

92.5

91.2

94.0

 
         

Week of February 18

       

February 19

       

NAHB Index - February

60

58

   
         

February 20

       

Housing Starts - January

1.265

n/a

   

Building Permits

1.300

n/a

   
         

February 21

       

Philadelphia Fed Survey

14.0

17.0

   
         

Existing Home Sales - January

5.070M

4.990

   
         

Leading Indicators - January

0.2%

-0.1

   
   

Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...

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