Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of December 24 And 31
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
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Week of December 24 |
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December 24 |
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index - November |
0.19 |
0.24 |
0.19 |
|
December 26 |
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S&P Case/Shiller Index - October |
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Twenty City M/M |
0.0% |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
Twenty City M/M - SA |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
Twenty City Y/Y |
4.9 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
|
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
14 |
14 |
14 |
|
December 27 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
214K |
214 |
217 |
|
FHFA Housing Price Index - Oct |
0.1% |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
New Home Sales - November |
555M |
544.0 |
560 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
135.0 |
135.7 |
134.0 |
|
December 28 |
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International Trade in Goods - November |
-73.3 |
-77.2 |
-75.7 |
|
Wholesale Inventories (a) - November |
0.3% |
0.8 |
0.3 |
|
Pending Home Sale Index - November |
103.0 |
102.1 |
103.6 |
|
Week of December 31 |
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December 31 |
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Chicago PMI |
62.0 |
66.4 |
||
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
17.6 |
17.6 |
||
January 2 |
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PMI Manufacturing Index - December |
53.9 |
53.9 |
||
ADP Employment - December |
175 |
227 |
||
January 3 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
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ISM (Mfg) - December |
58.3 |
59.3 |
||
Construction Spending - December |
0.3% |
-0.1 |
||
Auto Sales* - December |
17.3M |
17.4 |
||
Car Sales |
5.2 |
5.2 |
||
Truck Sales |
12.1 |
12.2 |
||
*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence |
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January 4 |
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PMI Services Index - December |
53.4 |
53.4 |
||
Nonfarm Payrolls - December |
180K |
155 |
||
Private |
175 |
161 |
||
Manufacturing |
23 |
27 |
||
Unemployment |
3.7% |
3.7 |
||
Average Workweek |
34.5HR |
34.4 |
||
Average Hourly Earnings |
0.3% |
0.2 |
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*Core Private equals Private less Medical, Social Assistance, and Temp Services |
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Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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