U.S. Stocks Lack Direction After NY Fed President’s Rate Cut Comments

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  • US stocks show little direction, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones hovering around the flatline, while the Nasdaq gains approximately 0.2%.
  • NY Fed President John Williams states that the central bank is not currently discussing rate cuts, deeming it premature to consider a March interest rate cut.
  • Earlier in the week, the Fed indicated the potential for 75 basis points in interest rate cuts next year, with many investors anticipating the first cut as early as March.
  • The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index records an unexpected decline, while S&P Global PMIs continue to indicate a robust services sector but a weaker-than-expected manufacturing sector.
  • Stocks remain at elevated levels, with the Dow Jones reaching record highs and both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq trading near levels not seen in nearly two years.
  • Over the week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq record nearly 2.5% gains, marking a seventh consecutive week of increases, while the Dow Jones adds 2.8%, marking a ninth consecutive gain.

Dollar Index:

  • The dollar index approaches 102.5 after NY Fed President John Williams comments that the central bank is not currently discussing rate cuts and that it’s too early to consider a March interest rate cut.
  • Expectations for a March rate cut decline from 75% to 65% following Williams’ remarks.
  • Earlier in the week, the Fed signaled the possibility of 75 basis points in interest rate cuts next year, a faster pace than previously projected in September.
  • Both the ECB and BOE maintain their policy rates but commit to keeping them at elevated levels to address inflation.
  • The euro and British pound experience the most significant selling activity against the dollar over the week.
  • Despite the recent gains, the dollar is down approximately 1.5% for the week.

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