Forex Forecast And Cryptocurrencies Forecast For March 25 - 29

First, a review of last week’s events:

  • EUR/USD. The Federal Reserve has left the interest rate unchanged, at 2.5%, and is no longer going to raise it this year. The Fed also lowered its forecasts for US GDP and inflation and raised the unemployment forecast for 2019-2021.
    Such actions and statements of the American regulator confirm the start of a recession, which should negatively affect the US currency. As a result, the dollar fell to the mark of $1.1447 for 1 euro on Thursday, March 20. But then, instead of continuing to decline, it recovered in relation to almost all major currencies, and, above all, in relation to the euro. This happened due to disappointing data from Germany – PMI (business activity index in the manufacturing sector) in February was only 44.7 instead of the expected value of 48.0. This news caused concern about the global economic crisis once again and led not only to a depreciation of the euro but also to a sharp drop in stocks and bonds. The pair EUR/USD lost 175 points in two days, and then, after a small rebound, completed the week at 1.1300;
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  • GBP/USD. The Brexit final stage is delayed. The pitiable finale for the pound is delayed as well. The British currency lost about 300 points in the first four days of the week, coming close to the level of 1.3000. However, the pigeon rhetoric of the US Federal Reserve Head Jerome Powell and the “help” from the EU, which gave Prime Minister Teresa May time until April 12 to resolve the issue of accepting her deal, allowed the pound to move a little away from the brink of abyss and finish the five-day close to a strong support /resistance level 1.3200.
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  • USD/JPY. Unlike its European “colleagues”, the past week was successful for the yen. Against the backdrop of expectations of a recession, a revision of macroeconomic forecasts and a fall in the value of stocks and bonds in the United States and Europe, the pair dropped to 109.70 by mid-Friday, March 22, and the final chord sounded at 109.90.
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  • Cryptocurrencies. All sorts of gurus continue to hypnotize the public with predictions of an upcoming rise of digital currencies. So, famous American venture investor Tim Draper believes that the massive transition to cryptocurrency will begin in about two years' time. And Tom Lee, a financial analyst, and co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors has given a shorter-term forecast, having said in an interview to CNBC that the bearish sentiment on the bitcoin market will be replaced by the bullish one within six months. The turning point, in his opinion, will be in August, and the BTC rate can easily reach $10-20,000.
    In contrast to this, yet virtual, optimism, quite real pessimistic notes are heard. For example, the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), which once launched Bitcoin futures trading, has now refused to add new contracts.
    On such a news background, as we predicted, the BTC/USD did not manage to break above the $4,150 horizon. The only hope for investors can be the fact that the pair did not fall below $4,000 for almost the entire week, which allows us to go on talking about an uptrend, albeit a weak one.
    Also, the Litecoin (LTC/USD) has not left the limits of the ascending channel, the Ethereum (ETH/USD) is consolidating near the $139.00 horizon, and for the Ripple (XRP/USD), a 10-week Pivot Point can be considered the level of $0.318.
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