The EUR/USD is clearly breaking the long-term support trend line and daily 21 ema zone. How important is this bearish breakout? And what are the immediate targets? Let’s analyze this.

Price Charts and Technical Analysis

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The EUR/USD bearish breakout was already anticipated in our ABC zigzag forecast. The only difference was that wave 2 (orange) on the 1-hour chart ended sooner than expected.

• A downtrend was confirmed with the bearish breakout below the 21 ema zone, 23.6% support Fib, and support lines (dotted green).
• This confirms a new lower low and a bearish price swing. This is probably a wave C (grey) of a larger wave 4 (pink).
• The main target of wave C (grey) is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1730.
• A bullish bounce (green arrows) at the 38.2% or 50% Fib confirms wave 4 (pink).
• A deeper bearish push places it on hold (yellow circle) or invalidates it (red circle).

On the 1 hour chart, the price action has reached the -27.2% Fibonacci target. This could create a wave 4 (blue) pullback now or next week.

• The current bearish impulse is typical for wave 3 (blue).
• The pullback should remain shallow. A bearish break confirms the downtrend (orange arrows).
• The intermediate target for wave 3 (green) is 1.1836. The next target zone is at 1.1750.

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