British Pound Techs: GBP/USD Two-Year-Highs, GBP/JPY Wedge Break

Sterling started the year on a boisterous note, setting a fresh two year high as the calendar turned into 2021. But GBP/USD soon found resistance at a Fibonacci level and prices have begun to pull back, begging the question as to whether Cable bulls will be able to continue driving even with increasing risk around the U.K. economy after another lockdown was ordered. This helped to elicit a bit of a pullback in GBP/USD, but so far buyers have helped to hold the bid above the key psychological level of 1.3500.

On the weekly chart below, that recent bullish breakout is in full view, along with the Fibonacci resistance that’s come into play to help hold the highs. The 76.4% retracement of the 2018-2020 major move plots at 1.3678.


(Click on image to enlarge)

GBPUSD Weekly Price Chart

Chart prepared by James StanleyGBPUSD on Tradingview

Taking a shorter-term look at the matter, and we have some messy prior price action; owed in part to both Brexit drivers going into the end of 2020 along with USD-themes that remain fairly unsettled, in their own right. Nonetheless, there is still some structure to work with, key of which would be the 1.3500 zone of possible higher-low support. At this point, a bit of support has held from around a prior swing-high from early-December around 1.3539; but buyers haven’t yet been able to do much, keeping the door open for a steeper fall in the pair.

Given dynamics in other major pairings such as EUR/USD or AUD/USD, GBP/USD may be one of the more attractive candidates to work within scenarios of extended USD-strength.

For those that are looking to establish bearish exposure in the pair, the possibility of a lower-high at or around the 1.3678 Fibonacci level could make for a rather exciting reversal backdrop. But, that lower-high may also print a bit earlier than 1.3678, and a set of prior price action swings from 1.3625-1.3641 could present such an area of interest.

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