WTI Dips After Surprise Crude, Product Inventory Builds

After a brief dip, extending yesterday's losses, on the surprise crude build reported by API overnight, but anxiety over the Suez canal blockage potentially taking days to fix sent prices notably higher overnight.

Ten tankers carrying 13 million barrels of crude could be affected after a container ship that ran aground in the Suez Canal blocked vessels passing through the waterway, oil analytics firm Vortexa said on Wednesday.

The approximate rate of the backlog is about 50 vessels a day and any delays leading to re-routings will add 15 days to the Middle East to Europe voyage, Vortexa added.

For now, all eyes are on US crude stocks as analysts expect a draw.

API

  • Crude +2.927mm (-900k exp)

  • Cushing -2.282mm

  • Gasoline -3.728mm

  • Distillates +246k

DOE

  • Crude +1.912mm (-900k exp)

  • Cushing -1.935mm

  • Gasoline +204k

  • Distillates +3.806mm

Official data confirmed API's crude build surprise but it is the build in products that is most notable

Source: Bloomberg

Total crude stocks are back near their highest since August...

Source: Bloomberg

While US rig counts have risen steadily, crude production remains "disciplined" for now amid higher prices...

Source: Bloomberg

WTI was hovering between $59.50 and $60 ahead of the official data and dipped lower after...

Finally, we note that overseas buying isn’t expected to recover any time soon. China, the largest customer for U.S. oil, slowed its intake after purchasing heavily in recent months. Local producers are also competing with traders that have amassed large quantities in storage across the world and are looking to offload their supplies since it doesn’t pay now to store oil and sell in the future.

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