COTTON

General Comments: Cotton was a little lower after follow through speculative buying dried up.  Speculators were also the best sellers.  The stronger prices in internal markets there are supporting ideas of new Chinese demand for US Cotton.  Commercials have also been buying futures in recent weeks.  Farmers are not selling too much due to price, but buyers are hard to find.  The lack of demand seems to be part of the price for now.

Chart Trends:  Trends in Cotton are mixed.  Support is at 64.80, 64.40, and 63.70 March, with resistance of 65.90, 66.40 and 67.20 March.

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FCOJ

General Comments: Futures were sharply higher yesterday on speculative buying.  Chart trends turned back up.  There is no freeze in the forecast, but areas north of the state have been very cold.  Florida has also been dry and irrigation is needed.  Traders are worried about demand even with overall lower prices.  The weather is considered good for production in Brazil and Mexico.  Scattered showers are reported in Brazil.

Overnight News:  ICE said that 0 notices were posted for delivery against January futures and that total deliveries for the month are now 0 contracts.

Chart Trends:  Trends in FCOJ are mixed.  Support is at 207.00, 193.00, and 184.00 March, with resistance at 230.00, 240.00, and 2a50.00 March.

COFFEE

General Comments:  New York was a little higher but lower in London yesterday, and trends are up in New York on the daily charts and are mixed on the daily report in London.  There are still ideas and reports of increasing harvest sales from Vietnam.  There are reports of very good conditions in Brazil that has caused some farm selling in recent days, but most are holding for better prices.  Scattered showers are being reported now to improve tree condition in Brazil.  Mexico is in good condition, as is Central America.  Vietnam has scattered showers lately and conditions there are called good.  Vietnamese producers are selling but only in small amounts.  Exports were 1.58 million tons in 2025, 17.5% above the previous year.  Indonesia exported 34.101 million tons in November, up 61% from the previous year.

Overnight News: The ICO average price is 307.11 ct/lb.

Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed.  Support is at 339.00, 334.00, and 330.00 March, and resistance is at 382.00, 385.00 and 390.00 March.  Trends in London are mixed to up.  Support is at 3880, 3730, and 3670 March, with resistance at 4100, 4190, and 4270 .

SUGAR

General Comments:  New York and London were higher yesterday.  New York continues to trade violently between 1500 and 1600 March and London has maintained trading range in the weekly charts.  There are still ideas of good supplies for the market from good growing conditions for cane and beets around the world continue.  The prospect of a big global surplus in the 2025/26 season was keeping the market on the defensive with a rise in production in India and Thailand set to increase supplies while global consumption is expected to remain steady.

Overnight News:

Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed.  Support is at 1450, 1440, and 1410 March and resistance is at 1510, 1540, and 1560 March.  Trends in London are mixed.  Support is at 415.00, 410.00, and 404.00 March, with resistance at 431.00, 437.00, and 445.00 March.

COCOA

General Comments:  New York and London closed a little lower yesterday.  Short term trends are mixed.  A big main crop harvest is anticipated in West Africa and rains have been positive for crops lately.  Light rains mixed with heat in Ivory Coast’s cocoa-growing regions last week signaled a positive outlook for the main crop.  There are still reports of increased production potential in other countries outside of West Africa, including Asia and Central America.  The market feels that there is less demand and the lack of demand is expected to continue.  Cocoa bean arrivals at ports in Ivory Coast fell 3.4% between Oct 1 and January 4 versus the same period last season. This might be partly down to unusual rain in December.

Chart Trends:  Trends in New York are mixed.  Support is at 5760, 5270, and 5200 March, with resistance at 6340, 6480, and 6710 March.  Trends in London are mixed.  Support is at 4150, 3830, and 3650 March, with resistance at 4530, 4620, and 4860 March.

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