Softs Report - Thursday, Dec. 24

COTTON
General Comments: Cotton closed higher in range trading. Harvest is wrapping up amid drier weather conditions in West Texas and the Delta and Southeast. The weekly export sales report showed very strong demand once again this week. Export demand has held strong despite stay at home orders and weaker economies around the world. Traders now hope for even more demand later as the vaccines are given out and the world economies start to recover.
Overnight News: The Delta and Southeast will get mostly dry conditions. Temperatures should average near to above normal in the Delta and in the Southeast early in the week, then near to below normal. Texas will have mostly dry conditions and near-normal temperatures. The USDA average price is now 70.53 ct/lb. ICE said that certified stocks are now 77,326 bales, from 77,326 bales yesterday.
Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are mixed. Support is at 7520, 7430, and 7400 March, with resistance of 7700, 7740 and 7800 March.

FCOJ
General Comments: FCOJ closed a little lower yesterday in spite of the cold weather making its way into the state. The cold is more a reminder of the time of year it is and less an actual threat to trees and fruit. The weather in Florida remains good for the crops. The Coronavirus is still promoting consumption of FCOJ at home. Restaurant and food service demand has been much less as no one is dining out. The weather in Florida is good with frequent showers to promote good tree health and fruit formation. Brazil has been too dry and irrigation is being used. Showers are falling in Brazil now and these need to continue to ensure good tree health. However, it could turn warm and dry again next week. Mexican crop conditions are called good with rains.
Overnight News: Florida should get mostly dry conditions today and tomorrow, then scattered showers. Temperatures will average near to above normal through Thursday, then below normal. Brazil should get scattered showers and near to above normal temperatures.
Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are mixed to up with objectives of 123.00, 128.00, and 130.00 January. Support is at 115.00, 113.00, and 110.00 January, with resistance at 120.00, 122.00, and 125.00 January.

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COFFEE
General Comments: Futures were little changed in both markets as most of the world got ready for the Christmas holidays. Vietnam has harvested its production under mostly dry conditions. Central America is also drier for harvesting. Brazil is getting some rains now to improve flowering after an extended dry season and just about everyone is getting helped. Brazil is expected to turn drier again next week. The demand from coffee shops and other food service operations is still at very low levels as consumers are still drinking Coffee at home. Reports indicate that consumers at home are consuming blends with more Robusta and less Arabica. The weather is good in Colombia and Peru.
Overnight News: ICE certified stocks are higher today at 1.396 million bags. The ICO daily average price is now 115.91 ct/lb. Brazil will get scattered showers with near to above normal temperatures. Central America will get scattered showers. Vietnam will see mostly dry conditions.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed. Support is at 123.00, 120.00, and 116.00 March, and resistance is at 128.00, 129.00, and 130.00 March. Trends in London are mixed to up with objectives of 1420, 1460, and 1780 March. Support is at 1340, 1330, and 1310 January, and resistance is at 1380, 1390, and 1410 January.

SUGAR
General Comments: New York and London closed higher on concerning Brazil rainfall patterns. Trends are turning up again. It has been raining in much of Brazil and the production of cane should be improved. Drier weather is expected to return next week, especially in central-south growing areas. The Indian government has not announced the subsidy for exporters of Sugar so no exports are coming out of India yet. Thailand might have less this year due to reduced planted area and erratic rains during the monsoon season. The EU is having problems with its Sugarbeets crop due to weather and disease. Coronavirus has returned to the world and has caused some demand concerns, especially for Ethanol.
Overnight News: Brazil will get scattered showers. Temperatures should average near to above normal.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed to up with objectives of 1500 and 1540 March. Support is at 1460, 1430, and 1410 March, and resistance is at 1510, 1530, and 1560 March. Trends in London are mixed. Support is at 401.00, 395.00, and 384.00 March, and resistance is at 410.00, 418.00, and 423.00 March.

COCOA
General Comments: New York closed higher and London closed mixed before the Christmas holiday. Both markets remain in a trading range. Importers are still looking for ways to source Cocoa without paying a premium demanded by Ivory Coast and Ghana. Both countries have instituted a living wage for producers there and are looking to tax exports to pay the increased wages. Buyers have been accused of using certified stocks from the exchange instead of buying from origin. There are a lot of demand worries as the Coronavirus is making a comeback in the US. Europe is also seeing a strong return of the pandemic.
Overnight News: Sporadic and light showers are forecast for West Africa. Temperatures will be near normal. Malaysia and Indonesia should see showers. Temperatures should average above normal. Brazil will get mostly dry conditions and near to above normal temperatures. ICE certified stocks are lower today at 2.877 million bags.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed. Support is at 2500, 2440, and 2430 March, with resistance at 2580, 2630, and 2650 March. Trends in London are mixed. Support is at 1670, 1620, and 1600 March, with resistance at 1730, 1760, and 1790 March.

Disclaimer: A Subsidiary of Price Holdings, Inc. – a Diversified Financial Services Firm. Member NIBA, NFA Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in ...

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