COTTON       

General Comments: Futures were lower once again on demand worries. The weekly export sales report showed less demand yesterday. Futures appear to be taking a break from the relentless up move seen over the last few months. Chart trends are down on the daily charts. The demand for US Cotton has been strong even with the Coronavirus. The US Dollar has started to firm recently and could be hurting demand. The US stock market has been generally firm to help support ideas of a better economy here and potentially increased demand for Cotton products.

Overnight News: The Delta will get mostly dry conditions and near to below normal temperatures and the Southeast will get isolated showers and below normal temperatures. Texas will have mostly dry conditions and near to below temperatures. The USDA average price is now 82.87 ct/lb.ICE said that certified stocks are now 99,706 bales, from 99,706 bales yesterday.ICE said that 0 notices were posted for delivery against March contracts and that total deliveries for the month are now 91 contracts.

Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are down with objectives of 8510 May. Support is at 8580, 8400, and 8280 May, with resistance of 8920, 9010, and 9140 May.

Image Source: Pixabay

FCOJ 

General Comments: FCOJ closed mostly a little higher in range trading. The tone of the market is mixed. Some damage to leaves and open flowers was possible in Texas and northern Mexico in the wake of the recent hard freeze, but ideas are that the overall damage was minor. Moderate temperatures are expected for Florida this and next week. The weather in Florida is good with a few showers to promote good tree health and fruit formation. Showers are falling in Brazil now and crop conditions are called good even with drier than normal soils. Mexican crop conditions in central and southern areas are called good with rains, but earlier dry weather might have hurt production. It is dry in northern and western Mexican growing areas.

Overnight News: Florida should get scattered showers tomorrow, otherwise dry conditions. Temperatures will average near to below normal. Brazil should get isolated showers and near to above normal temperatures.ICE said that 0 notices were posted today for March delivery and that total deliveries for the month are now 0 contracts.

Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are mixed. Support is at 109.00, 106.00, and 103.00 May, with resistance at 112.00, 116.00, and 117.00 May.

COFFEE   

General Comments: Futures were lower once again in both markets on better growing conditions in Brazil and a weaker Real. Cash market buyers are not buying that much Coffee these days. Vietnam producers have not sold since the Tet holiday. There are reports of good weather in Vietnam for the harvest. Indonesia has had good weather but has little coffee to sell now. Brazil has been dry for flowering and initial fruit development. Rains are now falling that should be very beneficial. Central America is also drier for harvesting but production might have been reduced due to very wet conditions during the growing season. Good growing conditions are reported in Colombia and Peru.

Overnight News: ICE-certified stocks are higher today at 1.806 million bags. The ICO daily average price is now 119.51 ct/lb. Brazil will get scattered showers with near-normal temperatures. Central America will get scattered showers or dry conditions. Vietnam will see mostly dry conditions.ICE said that 4 notices were posted for delivery against March contracts and that total deliveries for the month are now 499 contracts.

Chart Trends: Trends in New York are down with objectives of 126.00 May. Support is at 124.00, 121.00, and 118.00 May, and resistance is at 134.00, 137.00, and 140.00 May. Trends in London are mixed to down with objectives of 1380 May. Support is at 1360, 1340, and 1330 May, and resistance is at 1410, 1450, and 1460 May.

SUGAR             

General Comments: New York and London closed higher. The chart trends remain down in New York and sideways in London. The market appears to be searching for a new source of demand to complement the traditional buying. Rains were reported again in Brazil. It has been raining in south-central Brazil and the production of cane is looking solid for the next harvest. Production has been hurt due to dry weather earlier in the year. India is producing less Sugar and more Ethanol. Growing conditions are called good. Thailand might have less this year due to reduced planted area and erratic rains during the monsoon season. The EU Sugar crop is less this year as is the crop in Russia.

Overnight News: Brazil will get scattered showers. Temperatures should average near normal.

Chart Trends: Trends in New York are down with objectives of 1590 and 1510 May. Support is at 1600, 1580, and 1560 May, and resistance is at 1670, 1700, and 1720 May. Trends in London are mixed. Support is at 455.00, 451.00, and 446.00 May, and resistance is at 467.00, 477.00, and 485.00 May.

COCOA              

General Comments: New York and London closed lower as nearest resistance held on the daily charts. Demand should improve as the Covid vaccinations get administered. The ICCO said that the Cocoa surplus would be about 100,000 tons this year. Ivory Coast estimates its main crop production at 1.65 million tons. There were reports of demand for Cocoa in Ivory Coast, although the reports noted that there is a lot to sell there. The grind data has been weaker again implying less demand for chocolate. There are ideas of big supplies at origin.

Overnight News: Mostly dry conditions are forecast for West Africa. Temperatures will be near to above normal. Malaysia and Indonesia should see showers. Temperatures should average above normal. Brazil will get mostly dry conditions and near to above normal temperatures. ICE-certified stocks are higher today at 3.790 million bags.ICE said that 115 contracts were delivered against March futures and that total deliveries for the month are now 1,501 contracts.

Chart Trends: Trends in New York are down with objectives of 2470, 2340, and 2280 May. Support is at 2540, 2510, and 2470 May, with resistance at 2590, 2620, and 2670 May. Trends in London are mix3ed to down with objectives of 1770 and 1740 May. Support is at 1770, 1720, and 1680 May, with resistance at 1800, 1830, and 1860 May.