Softs Report - Monday, Jan. 11

PALM OIL      

General Comments:  Palm Oil closed higher and made a new high weekly close once again last week. The market was supported by ideas of tight supplies coming down the road. Production of most vegetable oils in the world is less this year due to a lack of production of oilseeds. The production of Palm Oil is down in both Malaysia and Indonesia as plantations in both countries are having trouble getting workers into the fields. Export demand has been strong and ethanol demand has been moderate. Soybean Oil and Canola were higher on strong demand ideas. Production problems for Soybeans in South America helped Soybean Oil. Very strong Palm Oil prices have made buying Soybean and Canola oils the better option. Trends are up in Soybean Oil and in Canola. Demand for Canola has improved in recent weeks and farm selling has been less.

Overnight News: The Delta and Southeast will get scattered showers this weekend. Temperatures should average mostly below normal. Texas will have scattered showers this weekend, otherwise dry conditions and mostly below normal temperatures. The USDA average price is now 75.41 ct/lb.ICE said that certified stocks are now 68,740 bales, from 69,527 bales yesterday.

Chart Trends:  Trends in Cotton are up with objectives of 8370 March. Support is at 7800, 7720, and 7660 March, with resistance of 8100, 8130, and 8160 March.

FCOJ 

General Comments:  FCOJ closed a little lower last week as the cold weather threat in Florida has passed by for now with no damage. The weather in Florida remains good for the crops although it has been cold recently.The Coronavirus is still promoting consumption of FCOJ at home. Restaurant and food service demand has been much less as no one is dining out.The weather in Florida is good with frequent showers to promote good tree health and fruit formation.Brazil has been too dry and irrigation is being used.Showers are falling in Brazil now and these need to continue to ensure good tree health.However, it could turn warm and dry again next week.Mexican crop conditions are called good with rains.

Overnight News: Florida should get scattered showers or dry conditions.Temperatures will average near normal. Brazil should get scattered showers and near to above normal temperatures. ICE said that 0 notices were posted for delivery against January contracts today and that total deliveries for the month are now 0 contracts.

Chart Trends:Trends in FCOJ are mixed.Support is at 121.00, 116.00, and 110.00 March, with resistance at 127.00, 128.00, and 129.00 March.

COFFEE   

General Comments:  Futures were lower in New York and London on forecasts for good weather in Brazil and Vietnam. The market is looking ahead to next year and Brazil has been dry for flowering and initial fruit development. Sufficient rains are falling now to support crops.Vietnam has harvested its production under mostly dry conditions.Central America is also drier for harvesting.The demand from coffee shops and other food service operations is still at very low levels as consumers are still drinking Coffee at home.Reports indicate that consumers at home are consuming blends with more Robusta and less Arabica.The weather is good in Colombia and Peru.

Overnight News:ICE certified stocks are higher today at 1.484 million bags.The ICO daily average price is now 114.42 ct/lb.Brazil will get scattered showers with near to above normal temperatures.Central America will get scattered showers.Vietnam will see mostly dry conditions.

Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed to down with objectives of 112.00 March.Support is at 119.00, 116.00, and 113.00 March, and resistance is at 125.00, 129.00 and 130.00 March.Trends in London are mixed to down with objectives of 1310 March. Support is at 1290, 1260, and 1230 March, and resistance is at 1360, 1380, and 1390 March.

SUGAR             

General Comments:  New York closed a little higher, but near the lows of the week, and London closed higher on what appeared to be speculative buying tied to forecasts for tight supplies.It has been raining in south central Brazil and the production of cane is winding down for the season. The rains have come late to the region.Production has been hurt due to dry weather earlier in the year.India has a very big crop of Sugarcane this year but no exports are coming out.Thailand might have less this year due to reduced planted area and erratic rains during the monsoon season.The EU is having problems with its Sugarbeets crop due to weather and disease.Coronavirus has returned to the world and has caused some demand concerns, especially for Ethanol.

Overnight News:Brazil will get scattered showers.Temperatures should average near to above normal.

Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed.Support is at 1560, 1510, and 1490 March, and resistance is at 1600, 1630, and 1660 March.Trends in London are mixed to up with no objectives.Support is at 421.00, 419.00, and 410.00 March, and resistance is at 444.00, 447.00, and 450.00 March.

COCOA              

General Comments:  New York and London closed lower last week.Importers are still looking for ways to source Cocoa without paying a premium demanded by Ivory Coast and Ghana.Both countries have instituted a living wage for producers there and are looking to tax exports to pay the increased wages.Buyers have been accused of using certified stocks from the exchange instead of buying from origin.Origin has ample supplies to sell right now.There are a lot of demand worries as the Coronavirus is making a comeback in the US.Europe is also seeing a return of the pandemic.The next grind data is due out over the next couple of weeks.

Overnight News:Mostly dry conditions are forecast for West Africa.Temperatures will be near normal.Malaysia and Indonesia should see showers.Temperatures should average above normal.Brazil will get mostly dry conditions and near to above normal temperatures.ICE certified stocks are higher today at 3.133 million bags.

Chart Trends:Trends in New York are mixed to down with objectives of 2440 and 2400 March.Support is at 2500, 2470, and 2440 March, with resistance at 2550, 2600, and 2660 March.Trends in London are mixed.Support is at 1660, 1620, and 1610 March, with resistance at 1720, 1750, and 1780 March.

Disclaimer: A Subsidiary of Price Holdings, Inc. – a Diversified Financial Services Firm. Member NIBA, NFA Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.