Short-Term Cycle Nearing Top

At the moment, I'm less focused on making money than I am on protecting profits, so my accounts have a healthy amount of cash. More later.

Outlook Summary


The short-term trend is up for stock prices as of March 25.

Contrarian sentiment is unfavorable for stock prices as of Nov, 14.

The economy is in expansion as of Sept. 19.

The medium-term trend for treasury bonds is down as of Oct.10 (prices lower, yields higher). 

Strategy During a Bull Market

  • Buy large-cap stocks and ETFs at the lows of the medium or short-term market trends
  • Buy small-cap growth stocks on breaks to new highs in the early stages of market trends
  • Reduce buying when the market trend is at the top of the range
  • Take partial profits when the market uptrend starts to struggle at the highs
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Disclaimer: I am not a registered investment adviser. My comments reflect my view of the market, and what I am doing with my accounts. The analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, ...

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