Large Cap Report: Best And Worst - May 13, 2014
Our top scoring large cap stocks from 1 year ago produced an average 325 bps of excess return to the S&P 500 over the past year. The best performers from a year ago (5/14/2013) are NOC up 57%, EA up 57%, WFT up 57%, MGA up 55%, and SWY up 55%.
- The best large cap sector is utilities.
- The top large cap industry is aerospace/defense
The average large cap score is 59.35, above the four week moving average score of 58.46. The average large cap stock is trading -10% below its 52 week high, 3.11% above its 200 dma, has 3.87 days to cover held short, and is expected to grow EPS by 13.5% next year.
Utilities remain the best scoring sector; however, we're starting to see other sectors rotate. Industrials, healthcare, basics, and consumer all score above average this week. Financials, technology, and services score below average.
LG CAP | 5/15/2014 | 4 Week MA | |||
Company Name | Symbol | Sector | INDUSTRY | SCORE | SCORE |
BEST | |||||
Sigma Aldrich | SIAL | HEALTHCARE | SPECIALTY CHEMICALS | 110 | 97.5 |
Amphenol Corp | APH | TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS | 105 | 103.75 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 105 | 103.75 |
Autonation | AN | SERVICES | AUTO DEALERSHIPS | 100 | 91.25 |
Avalonbay Comm. | AVB | FINANCIALS | REITS | 100 | 100 |
Burger King | BKW | SERVICES | RESTAURANTS | 100 | 102.5 |
Chesapeake Energy | CHK | BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 100 | 98.75 |
The Directv Group Inc | DTV | TECHNOLOGY | COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT | 100 | 96.25 |
Energizer Hldgs Inc | ENR | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | INDUSTRIAL ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT | 100 | 86.25 |
Eqt Corp | EQT | UTILITIES | GAS UTILITIES | 100 | 103.75 |
General Dynamics | GD | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 100 | 98.75 |
Green Mtn. Coffee Roasters | GMCR | CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 100 | 95 |
Idexx Lab | IDXX | HEALTHCARE | DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES | 100 | 93.75 |
Illumina | ILMN | HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 100 | 92.5 |
Kellogg Company | K | CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 100 | 101.25 |
Lorillard Inc | LO | CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 100 | 97.5 |
Lam Research Corp | LRCX | TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS | 100 | 92.5 |
Microchip Tech | MCHP | TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED | 100 | 91.25 |
O'Reilly Auto | ORLY | SERVICES | AUTO PARTS STORES | 100 | 98.75 |
American Int'l Group | AIG | FINANCIALS | PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE | 95 | 76.25 |
Albemarle Corp | ALB | BASIC MATERIALS | SYNTHETICS | 95 | 75 |
Autozone | AZO | SERVICES | AUTO PARTS STORES | 95 | 93.75 |
Cummins Inc | CMI | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 95 | 93.75 |
Camden Ppty | CPT | FINANCIALS | REITS | 95 | 95 |
C V S Corp | CVS | SERVICES | DRUG STORES | 95 | 93.75 |
Walt Disney Company | DIS | SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 95 | 87.5 |
Dover Corp | DOV | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 95 | 93.75 |
DaVita Inc | DVA | HEALTHCARE | SPECIALIZED HEALTH SERVICES | 95 | 92.5 |
EnCana Corp | ECA | BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 95 | 95 |
Edison Intl | EIX | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 95 | 97.5 |
Endo Health Solutions | ENDP | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 95 | 71.25 |
E O G Resources | EOG | BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 95 | 93.75 |
Essex Ppty Trust | ESS | FINANCIALS | REITS | 95 | 97.5 |
Entergy Corp New | ETR | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 95 | 95 |
Edwards Lifesciences | EW | HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT | 95 | 97.5 |
Halliburton | HAL | BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
L3 Communications | LLL | SERVICES | SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
Eli Lilly | LLY | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 95 | 95 |
M & T Bank | MTB | FINANCIALS | REGIONAL BANKS | 95 | 87.5 |
Nextera Energy | NEE | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 95 | 98.75 |
Northrup Grumman | NOC | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 95 | 87.5 |
Reynolds American | RAI | CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 95 | 95 |
S L Green | SLG | FINANCIALS | REITS | 95 | 95 |
Snap On Inc | SNA | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | SMALL TOOLS & ACCESSORIES | 95 | 93.75 |
Transdigm Group Inc. | TDG | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
Tyson Foods | TSN | CONSUMER GOODS | MEAT PRODUCTS | 95 | 92.5 |
Weatherfold International Inc | WFT | BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 95 | 95 |
Alexion Pharma | ALXN | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 90 | 93.75 |
B P plc | BP | BASIC MATERIALS | MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS | 90 | 81.25 |
Campbell Soup | CPB | CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 90 | 87.5 |
Eastman Chemical Co | EMN | BASIC MATERIALS | CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 90 | 86.25 |
Gilead | GILD | HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 90 | 80 |
Intel | INTC | TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE | 90 | 81.25 |
Mdu Res Group Inc | MDU | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | GENERAL BUILDING MATERIALS | 90 | 93.75 |
Public Storage | PSA | FINANCIALS | REITS | 90 | 86.25 |
Constellation Brands | STZ | CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 90 | 92.5 |
United Therapeutics | UTHR | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 90 | 68.75 |
Vornado Rlty Tr | VNO | FINANCIALS | REITS | 90 | 86.25 |
Wells Fargo | WFC | FINANCIALS | MONEY CENTER BANKS | 90 | 88.75 |
WORST | |||||
Fireeye Inc | FEYE | TECHNOLOGY | APPLICATION SOFTWARE | 15 | 17.5 |
Leucadia Nat'l | LUK | CONGLOMERATES | CONGLOMERATES | 15 | 17.5 |
Nomura Holdings | NMR | FINANCIALS | INVESTMENT BROKERAGE | 15 | 17.5 |
A S M L Holding | ASML | TECHNOLOGY | 20 | 20 | |
Bed Bath & Beyond | BBBY | SERVICES | HOME FURNISHING & FIXTURES | 20 | 16.25 |
Gerdau SA | GGB | BASIC MATERIALS | STEEL & IRON | 20 | 21.25 |
Rackspace Hosting Inc. | RAX | TECHNOLOGY | INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES | 20 | 20 |
Aerospace/defense (GD, TDG, NOC, SPR, RTN, BEAV, BA) is the top scoring large cap industry heading into summer air show order season. Pipelines (SE, WMB) score high and benefit from increased shale production. REITs (AVB, SLG, ESS, CPT, VNO, PSA) benefit from low interest rate capacity additions, improving vacancy rates (office), and solid effective rents. Beverages (STZ, MNST, DPS, BF.B) tend to trade higher heading into summer peak demand. Cigarettes (LO, RAI, MO) offer upside as managers tend to de-risk into summer.
In large cap basics, buy pipelines, major chemicals (EMN, SHW, ASH), and independent oil & gas (CHK, EOG, ECA). In consumer goods, focus on beverages, cigarettes, and processed & packaged foods (K, GMCR, CPB, MJN). In financials, the best industries include REITs, credit services (SLM, MCO, DFS, COF), and P&C insurers (AIG, WRB, XL, TRV, PRE). P&C insurers tend to post solid returns through the summer hurricane season. In healthcare, the best scoring groups include healthcare plans (HUM, CI, WLP, AET), drugmakers (JNJ, LLY, ENDP, UTHR, ALXN, NVS), and medical appliances (EW, ZMH, RMD, MDT). Medicaid expansion is significantly boosting revenue for private Medicaid insurers. Every industrial goods basket scores above average this week, led by aerospace/defense, diversified machinery (DOV, CMI, ITW, XYL), and industrial equipment (ROP, PNR). The top services industries are drug stores (CVS, RAD), railroads (UNP, NSC, CSX), and grocers (KR). In technology, concentrate on domestic telecom (CTL, T), diversified communication (AMT), and semi ICs (TSM, SKWS, MRVL).
LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR | 5/15/2014 | |
Sector | Industry | SCORE |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS PIPELINES | 77.50 |
BASIC MATERIALS | CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 75.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 71.18 |
BASIC MATERIALS | MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS | 70.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS | 67.50 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 65.45 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION | 60.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING | 50.83 |
BASIC MATERIALS | AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS | 50.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | GOLD | 44.17 |
BASIC MATERIALS | STEEL & IRON | 39.29 |
CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 76.67 |
CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 76.25 |
CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 73.13 |
CONSUMER GOODS | FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 72.50 |
CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO PARTS | 64.17 |
CONSUMER GOODS | TEXTILES | 56.11 |
CONSUMER GOODS | PERSONAL PRODUCTS | 45.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR | 38.33 |
FINANCIALS | REITS | 77.38 |
FINANCIALS | CREDIT SERVICES | 68.13 |
FINANCIALS | PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE | 60.00 |
FINANCIALS | MONEY CENTER BANKS | 55.00 |
FINANCIALS | LIFE INSURANCE | 51.67 |
FINANCIALS | REGIONAL BANKS | 51.50 |
FINANCIALS | FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS | 50.00 |
FINANCIALS | INSURANCE BROKERS | 47.50 |
FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 43.75 |
FINANCIALS | INVESTMENT BROKERAGE | 36.25 |
FINANCIALS | SAVINGS & LOANS | 35.00 |
HEALTHCARE | HEALTH CARE PLANS | 70.00 |
HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 66.96 |
HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT | 61.25 |
HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES | 55.56 |
HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 53.33 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 78.00 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 70.00 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS | 63.75 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY | 57.00 |
SERVICES | DRUG STORES | 75.00 |
SERVICES | RAILROADS | 75.00 |
SERVICES | GROCERY STORES | 61.67 |
SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 61.25 |
SERVICES | LODGING | 61.25 |
SERVICES | RESTAURANTS | 61.00 |
SERVICES | AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES | 58.75 |
SERVICES | BUSINESS SERVICES | 55.50 |
SERVICES | DEPARTMENT STORES | 55.00 |
SERVICES | CATV SYSTEMS | 53.57 |
SERVICES | APPAREL STORES | 52.86 |
SERVICES | DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES | 51.67 |
SERVICES | DRUGS WHOLESALE | 50.00 |
SERVICES | RESORTS AND CASINOS | 36.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC | 71.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES | 68.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS | 67.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT | 66.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS | 63.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED | 62.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 62.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE | 61.25 |
TECHNOLOGY | SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS | 58.75 |
TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS | 56.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE | 50.83 |
TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER | 50.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS | 50.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 48.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | APPLICATION SOFTWARE | 48.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | DATA STORAGE DEVICES | 41.25 |
UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 70.71 |
UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 60.50 |
UTILITIES | FOREIGN UTILITIES | 58.33 |
None.