Grains Report - Wednesday, Oct. 14

WHEAT
General Comments: Wheat markets were mostly a little higher, but traded much higher early in the session. There was no real bullish news. World demand for US Wheat depends mostly on lower prices for US Wheat to compete with Russia, Europe, and other sellers. The overseas weather is mixed. Western Europe is likely to get some good rains in the short term, but southern Russia could stay dry or get very light showers. Some showers are forecast for Ukraine this week, but the eastern sections of the country should stay dry. Kazakhstan is dry. These areas are trying to plant the next Winter Wheat crop but the dry weather and the dry soils are keeping farmers out of the fields. Less production is likely in Argentina due to drought, but some showers were reported in dry areas over the weekend. About quarter of Argentine growing areas are affected after the beneficial rains. Western Australia has also been very dry. Conditions are improved in the US after some rains fell in the Great Plains but the western Great Plains remains mostly hot and dry. The Midwest has had good rains but will need more soon.
Overnight News: The southern Great Plains should get mostly dry conditions or isolated showers. Temperatures should trend to below normal. Northern areas should see scattered showers. Temperatures will trend to below normal. The Canadian Prairies should see isolated showers. Temperatures should trend to below normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are mixed. Support is at 587, 576, and 561 December, with resistance at 604, 611, and 614 December. Trends in Kansas City are mixed. Support is at 525, 518, and 515 December, with resistance at 543, 553, and 555 December. Trends in Minneapolis are mixed. Support is at 539, 531, and 523 December, and resistance is at 549, 553, and 556 December.

RICE
General Comments: Rice was a little lower. US export demand was very strong once again last week and were a marketing year high. Central and South American countries were the best buyers, followed by eastern Asia. The harvest has been active in northern states with good field yields reported. Southern Louisiana and Texas are done with the first crop harvest and are waiting for the second crop to mature. Quality is said to be very good, especially in Arkansas.
Overnight News: The Delta should get mostly dry conditions. Temperatures should trend to near to nelow normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends are down with objectives of 1185 November. Support is at 1220, 1210, and 1204 November, with resistance at 1252, 1260, and 1275 November.

CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn closed a little higher in recovery trading. There was no real bullish news seen, but Mexico did buy 110,000 tons of US Corn. Ideas are that US producers harvested a lot of Corn over the weekend but they are not really selling. Harvest reports from the country suggest that production of a good crop is likely. Demand is holding strong for exports, but domestic demand was cut back from previous estimates. The demand has come primarily from China as the state companies bought for the reserve, but that buying appears to be almost complete now. The harvest has expanded into the Midwest with very good harvest conditions. The Midwest harvest has been slow as the Corn is slow to dry down.
Overnight News: China bought 420,000 tons of US Corn.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are mixed. Support is at 387, 385, and 382 December, and resistance is at 399, 401, and 404 December. Trends in Oats are down with objectives of 274 December. Support is at 281, 279, and 278 December, and resistance is at 290, 295, and 297 December.

SOYBEANS AND PRODUCTS
General Comments: Soybeans and the products closed higher in recovery trading. The harvest has started to expand and reports indicated that the producer is selling Soybeans right off the combine or is delivering against previous contracts. Chinese buying for the reserve is almost finished. Ideas are that individual crushers are still with positions to buy. Soybeans were the leader to the upside due to the strong Chinese demand until this week. The trade generally expects China to shift its buying back to Brazil in the near future, but Brazil has been hot and dry and parts of Argentina have also been dry and some of the early planting has been delayed. That might keep the Chinese buying in the US for a little longer, but only for the crushers and not for the reserve. Brazil is expected to get rains starting this weekend, so all of the projected Soybeans area will get planted and a big crop from Brazil is still expected.
Overnight News: China bought 264,000 tons of US Soybeans.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed to down with objectives of 1014, 981, and 962 November. Support is at 1032, 1023, and 1013 November, and resistance is at 1049, 1060, and 1080 November. Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed to down with objectives of 341.00, 340.00, and 335.00 December. Support is at 353.00, 349.00, and 341.00 December, and resistance is at 360.00, 369.00, and 372.00 December. Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed to up with objectives of 3630 and 3770 December. Support is at 3310, 3250, and 3210 December, with resistance at 3440, 3470, and 3500 December.

CANOLA AND PALM OIL
General Comments: Palm Oil closed lower with the price action yesterday in Chicago. China is back from its holiday and has been the big buyer in Palm Oil. India is also buying. It is seasonally a time for trees to produce more due to more regular rains. The lack of labor has been a big problem. At least some of the plantation owners have asked for more migrant workers to cover the lack of workers that can be sourced locally. Demand reports from the private surveyors are stronger this month. Canola was a little lower as it caught up to the price action in Chicago. Canola farmers are selling due to harvest pressure, but industry and speculators are buying. Canola is still considered relatively cheap in the world market.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are mixed. Support is at 519.00, 515.00, and 508.00 November, with resistance at 529.00, 534.00, and 536.00 November. Trends in Palm Oil are up with objectives of 3180 December. Support is at 2950, 2900, and 2870 December, with resistance at 3030, 3080, and 3110 December.

Disclaimer: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in futures can involve substantial risk of loss & is not suitable for everyone. Trading foreign exchange also ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.