Grains Report - Thursday, Oct. 22

WHEAT
General Comments: Winter Wheat markets were higher aga.in yesterday. It is a weather market and the planting weather is dry in many northern hemisphere areas. Western Europe is likely to get some good rains this week, but southern Russia could stay mostly dry. Dry conditions are forecast for eastern Ukraine this week. Kazakhstan has been dry. These areas are trying to plant the next Winter Wheat crop but the dry weather and the dry soils are keeping farmers out of the fields. Farmers are not really selling much of the current crop due to fears about production of the next crop. Less production is likely in Argentina due to drought, but the rains are coming now. Western Australia has also been very dry and no beneficial rains are in the forecast except for the far south of the state. The western Great Plains remains mostly dry but will get scattered showers in the next week or so. The Midwest has had some rains but has been drier than normal. The forecasts call for good rains this week in SRW areas.
Overnight News: The southern Great Plains should get isolated to scattered showers. Temperatures should be below normal. Northern areas should see scattered showers. Temperatures will be below normal. The Canadian Prairies should see light snow. Temperatures should be below normal. South Korea bought 130,000 tons of White Wheat.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are up with objectives of 660 December. Support is at 617, 604, and 600 December, with resistance at 638, 644, and 650 December. Trends in Kansas City are up with objectives of 600 December. Support is at 565, 553, and 540 December, with resistance at 579, 582, and 585 December. Trends in Minneapolis are up with no objectives. Support is at 579, 570, and 560 December, and resistance is at 590, 593, and 596 December.

RICE
General Comments: Rice was a little lower and held the lows made yesterday. The overall price action is weak and the market needs more demand. Export demand dropped in a big way last week and domestic demand has been steady but not spectacular, The harvest has been active in northern states with good field yields reported. Southern Louisiana and Texas are done with the first crop harvest and are waiting for the second crop to mature. Producers had to endure Hurricane Delta in Louisiana, but the Rice apparently made it through with only minimal losses if any losses were seen at all. Quality is said to be very good, especially in Arkansas.
Overnight News: The Delta should get mostly dry conditions. Temperatures should be below normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends are down with objectives of 1185 November. Support is at 1218, 1210, and 1204 November, with resistance at 1222, 1236, and 1241 November.

CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn closed higher. Farmers in the US are holding Corn for later sale despite firm basis and tight carry spreads. Producers are unhappy with the price and the Soybeans are paying much better, so farmers are selling the Soybeans and holding the Corn. Harvest reports from the country suggest that production of a good crop is likely. Demand is holding strong for exports, but domestic demand was cut back from previous estimates in the latest WASDE report. The demand has come primarily from China as the state companies bought for the reserve, and the buying could continue. The harvest has been active in the Midwest with very good harvest conditions. US ethanol data showed less demand last week. Ethanol production was 913,000 barrels per day, down 24,000 barrels per day from the previous week, and 83,000 barrels per day from last year. Ethanol stocks are now 19.721 million barrels.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are up with objectives of 427 December. Support is at 410, 405, and 399 December, and resistance is at 416, 419, and 422 December. Trends in Oats are up with objectives of 310, 320, and 331 December. Support is at 300, 295, and 291 December, and resistance is at 306, 309, and 312 December.

SOYBEANS AND PRODUCTS
General Comments: Soybeans and Soybean Meal closed higher and Soybean Oil was lower. Traders are expecting more demand in the short term. The demand has been primarily from China but other countries are buying in the US as well. Brazil could become a buyer as the country is out of beans and the government has lifted import restrictions as a temporary measure. Reports indicated that the producer is selling Soybeans right off the combine or is delivering against previous contracts. Chinese buying for the reserve is almost finished. Ideas are that individual crushers are still with positions to buy. The trade generally expects China to shift its buying back to Brazil in the near future, but Brazil has been hot and dry and parts of Argentina have also been dry and some of the early planting has been delayed. That might keep the Chinese buying in the US for a little longer. Brazil is starting to get rains, so all of the projected Soybeans area will get planted and a big crop from Brazil is still expected. The US harvest is continuing and starting to end. Yield reports have been disappointing in some areas of the Midwest.
Overnight News: Mexico bought 152,450 tons of Soybeans and unknown destinations bought 143,000 tons of Soybeans.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed. Support is at 1046, 1038, and 1032 November, and resistance is at 1080, 1084, and 1096 November. Trends in Soybean Meal are up with no objectives. Support is at 372.00, 369.00, and 360.00 December, and resistance is at 381.00, 384.00, and 387.00 December. Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed. Support is at 3210, 3150, and 3140 December, with resistance at 3380, 3400, and 3420 December.

CANOLA AND PALM OIL
General Comments: Palm Oil closed higher on improved October demand for exports and price action overseas. The export pace as reported by private surveyors increased from September. It is seasonally a time for trees to produce more due to more regular rains. Getting workers to do the harvest remains hard and the lack of labor has been a big problem. At least some of the plantation owners have asked for more migrant workers to cover the lack of workers that can be sourced locally. Canola was higher. Canola farmers are selling due to harvest pressure, but industry and speculators are buying.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are up with objectives of 557.00 November. Support is at 540.00, 534.00, and 529.00 November, with resistance at 551.00, 554.00, and 557.00 November. Trends in Palm Oil are mixed to down with no objectives. Support is at 2760, 2740, and 2710 January, with resistance at 2910, 2940, and 2980 January.

Disclaimer: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in futures can involve substantial risk of loss & is not suitable for everyone. Trading foreign exchange also ...

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