Grains Report - Friday, Aug. 14

WHEAT
General Comments: Winter Wheat markets were higher in sympathy with the rallies in Corn and Soybeans and on a weaker US Dollar. USDA showed higher world production estimates to go along with higher US production estimates. Russian Wheat is now hitting the domestic market and prices are lower. Production estimates have improved as the harvest has moved into areas that enjoyed better weather. Spring Wheat was developing under good growing conditions in both the US and Canada. Yield reports from the central and southern Great Plains have been variable, but generally a little better than expected. Soft Red Winter yields are high. The Winter Wheat markets are in down trends on the weekly charts. It is still dry in France and Russia and now Spring Wheat areas of Russia are being affected. Russian Winter Wheat yields have improved over time as harvesters move into areas that had better growing conditions. Australia remains in good condition. About half of the Argentine Wheat belt is too dry.
Overnight News: The southern Great Plains should get mostly dry conditions. Temperatures should be above normal. Northern areas should see scattered showers. Temperatures will average near to above normal. The Canadian Prairies should see scattered showers. Temperatures should average near to above normal. Egypt bought 415,000 tons of Russian Wheat
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are mixed. Support is at 486, 471, and 455 September, with resistance at 500, 508, and 515 September. Trends in Kansas City are mixed to up with objectives of 433 and 444 September. Support is at 420, 410, and 404 September, with resistance at 438, 440, and 455 September. Trends in Minneapolis are mixed to up with objectives of 502, 509, and 522 September. Support is at 495, 491, and 486 September, and resistance is at 508, 512, and 520 September.

RICE
General Comments Rice was a little lower in consolidation trading. The USDA reports from Wednesday still were the talk of the trade. USDA showed reduced yield potential for the crop, but also reduced domestic and export demand. Ending stocks were still increased as the average farm price was unchanged. Even so, the market Was able to rally as the trade had anticipated more bearish estimates from USDA. New crop prospects appear solid for increased production in the coming year. The area is larger and the growing conditions are mostly good. The crops are called in good condition in Mississippi, Arkansas, and Missouri. Texas and southern Louisiana field yield reports are strong. Export demand for the new crop Rice has been slow to develop as buyers wait for lower prices.
Overnight News: The Delta should get scattered showers. Temperatures should be near to below normal.
Chart Analysis: Trends are mixed. Support is at 1166, 1150, and 1146 September, with resistance at 1182, 1191, and 1200 September.

CORN AND OATS
General Comments Corn was sharply higher in reaction to the USDA/FSA reports. USDA/FSA showed less than expected certified acreage in its reports released after the close yesterday. FSA cautioned that the data was very incomplete due to restrictions imposed by the Coronavirus, but the speculative community took the data as an accurate reflection of how much got planted. FSA said that 81.1 million acres were enrolled which is 7 million below the estimate needed to confirm the NASS projections in the production estimates. It said that 5.4 million acres fell into the prevent plant category, a high number. A major storm hit Iowa and northern Illinois on Tuesday. A Derecho brought big winds and flattened Corn crops while leaving Soybeans twisted. It even brought a tornado to the far north side of Chicago and brought significant damage wherever it hit. The total amount of Corn and Soybeans lost remains unknown.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are up with objectives of 331 and 365 September. Support is at 322, 319, and 315 September, and resistance is at 330, 338, and 340 September. Trends in Oats are down with objectives of 249 September. Support is at 260, 258, and 257 September, and resistance is at 268, 272, and 277 September.

SOYBEANS AND PRODUCTS
General Comments: Soybeans were sharply higher in reaction to the USDA/FSA reports. USDA/FSA showed less than expected certified acreage in its reports released after the close yesterday. FSA cautioned that the data was very incomplete due to restrictions imposed by the Coronavirus, but the speculative community took the data as an accurate reflection of how much got planted. FSA said that 75.9 million acres were enrolled which is 6 million below the estimate needed to confirm the NASS projections in the production estimates. It said that 1.2 million acres fell into the prevent plant category. A major storm hit Iowa and northern Illinois on Tuesday. A Derecho brought big winds and flattened Corn crops while leaving Soybeans twisted. It even brought a tornado to the far north side of Chicago and brought significant damage wherever it hit. The total amount of Corn and Soybeans lost remains unknown but prices have not really been affected by the storm yet.
Overnight News: China bought 126,000 tons of US Soybeans
Chart Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are up with objectives of 914 September. Support is at 888, 880, and 873 September, and resistance is at 904, 905, and 909 September. Trends in Soybean Meal are up with objectives of 295.00 September. Support is at 292.00, 290.00, and 287.00 September, and resistance is at 295.00, 298.00, and 300.00 September. Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed to up with objectives of 3270 and 3290 September. Support is at 3100, 3050, and 2980 September, with resistance at 3180, 3190, and 3200 September.

CANOLA AND PALM OIL
General Comments: Palm Oil was higher this morning on ideas of improving demand. Ideas are that importers are buying to replenish stocks. Flooding and a lack of workers for the plantations have been the reasons to see less production. Higher world petroleum prices helped with ideas of increased bio fuels demand. Palm Oil has been hoping for better demand from importers as world economies slowly open after being closed by the Coronavirus epidemic. Indonesia continues to focus its Palm Oil on internal demand for bio fuels. Canola closed higher with Chicago price action, but did not rally like Soybeans due to weakness in Soybean Oil and strength in the Canadian Dollar. The strength in the Canadian Dollar is more about weakness in the US Dollar than anything going on in Canada. Crop conditions are mostly good and farmers have been selling old crop supplies. The weather has been warmer the past couple of weeks and most areas have seen rain.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are mixed to down with objectives of 448.00 November. Support is at 481.00, 480.00, and 476.00 November, with resistance at 486.00, 489.00, and 491.00 November. Trends in Palm Oil are mixed. Support is at 2690, 2610, and 2560 October, with resistance at 2780, 2810, and 2850 October.

Disclaimer: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in futures can involve substantial risk of loss & is not suitable for everyone. Trading foreign exchange also ...

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