Gold

What do 72 countries – including developed nations such as Canada, Australia, Japan, and Sweden; emerging giants such as Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Nigeria, India, Iran, and Russia; and small countries such as Burundi, Haiti, Myanmar, Syria, and Tonga – all have in common?

Not much, you might say; they differ vastly in such metrics as population, GDP per capita, inflation rate, income inequality, and political stability. Yet these 72 nations do share one surprising feature: The price of gold is at an all-time high in the currencies of all these countries. Furthermore, the price is not far from its historical zenith in terms of the British pound, the Chinese yuan, the Swiss franc, the euro, and even the US dollar.

This phenomenon was pointed out to us by Ross Norman, CEO of Sharps Pixley, a London bullion broker, who wrote an article titled “Gold hits an all-time high in 72 currencies” (Jan. 15, 2019).

So what’s going on here? We can certainly point to the drastic appreciation of gold over the last 20 years. Since 1999, gold has risen by the following percentages relative to these nations’ currencies (some figures are approximate):

Australian dollar 298%
Brazilian real 699%
British pound 470%
Canadian dollar 290%
Egyptian pound 2231%
Indian rupee 644%
Iranian real 6103%
Japanese yen 329%
Mexican peso 861%
Nigerian naira 1720%
Russian ruble 612%
S African rand 914%
Swedish krona 419%
Turkish lira 1648%
US dollar 345%

(Data source: https://goldprice.org/gold-price-history.html)

In the span of these two decades we have seen the dot-com bubble and crash (followed by recession), the US housing crash and Great Financial Crisis (and recession), and then the longest bull market in US history. Gold has tended to tread water in most major currencies in the latter period, from March 2009 to present, but it’s clear that a post-millennial flight from risk and into gold has been a powerful and globally consistent pattern. There has simply been more financial, economic, and geopolitical turbulence over the last two decades than there was in the period 1945–2000.

1 2
View single page >> |

Disclosure: Cumberland’s US ETF managed accounts hold a position in GDX, a gold miner ETF.

Disclaimer: The preceding was provided by Cumberland Advisors, Home Office: One Sarasota ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience. Users' ratings are only visible to themselves.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.