Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Grasps For Support After Bearish Engulf

Gold prices are starting 2021 on the move, but probably not in the manner that many had expected. As the US Dollar continues to pullback, Gold prices have been offered aggressively over the past few trading days as the yellow metal has pushed down to a fresh monthly low.

As looked at in this week’s technical forecast, the first weekly bar in Gold for 2021 printed as a bearish engulfing formation, which will often be approached with the aim of bearish continuation. This is similar to the formation that showed on the Daily chart back on August 7th, the same date that Gold set its current all-time-high. In that scenario, the bearish engulf highlighted the potential for the start of a pullback but, now five full months later Gold bulls remain subdued.

The bearish engulfing formation that printed last week brings on the prospect of fresh lows in Gold prices, with a focus on the late-November swing around 1764.


(Click on image to enlarge)

Gold Weekly Price Chart

Chart prepared by James StanleyGold on Tradingview


That November low printed at a key area on the chart as there are two levels derived from two separate 2020 major moves that helped to bring buyers back into the fray. At 1763.27 we have the 50% marker from the March-August major move, and at 1766.28 we have the 76.4% retracement of the June-August major move.

Each of these Fibonacci studies have nearby levels, as well, with the 38.2% retracement of the March-August move plotting at 1836.87 and the 61.8% retracement of the June-August move at 1825. The big question is whether this can bring enough buyer support in the matter to turn-around last week’s declines and, at this stage, there would appear a lack of supporting evidence to get too excited about the bullish side just yet.


(Click on image to enlarge)

Gold Daily Price Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; Gold on Tradingview

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