Gold Price Eyes Recovery After Cratering To Trendline Support

Gold suffered significant declines in the last two weeks as the precious metal fell more than 7% amid rising US Treasury yields. Losses saw XAU/USD blow through various levels of technical support until the lower bound of the metal’s descending channel helped to arrest declines. A picture-perfect bounce off the trendline has seen gold recover somewhat and further consolidation of the extension lower might occur which could see price climb to overhead resistance in the days ahead.


(Click on image to enlarge)

gold price chart

Should gold climb higher still, initial resistance might reside along the November low around $1,765 with a potential barrier shortly thereafter around $1,800. Such a retracement would see gold scamper to the midpoint of the descending channel which might then open the door to strategies with bearish biases once more. In the meantime, the risk-reward ratio of bearish exposure appears less than ideal.

That being said, the fundamental landscape remains largely unchanged and if US Treasury yields continue to rise in the weeks ahead, there may be further weakness in store for gold. Aside from the fundamental side of the argument, gold has posted series of lower highs and lower lows consistently since August. With the most recent leg lower taking aim at support around $1,675 and the death cross formation in early January, the longer-term technical outlook remains bearish in my view.

Gold has shown few signs the larger downtrend since August will suddenly end so there is little to suggest a larger reversal higher to the 200-day moving average or the top end of the descending channel is imminent. 

Disclosure: See the full disclosure for DailyFX here.

How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.


Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.