Energy Report: Early Returns

Joe Biden voters are getting an early return on their vote investment as markets start to price-in higher energy prices. While Vice-President Joe Biden promised he would not raise taxes on anyone making less than $400,000 a year, he did not promise that they would get to keep their money. He clearly said that they would be paying an invisible tax that all hardworking Americans will face with his green energy policies to raise the cost of gasoline and natural gas, and electricity. Whether knowingly or not, millions of Americans voted for higher gas and electricity prices and, based on market action, are already getting a return on their vote investment.

Petrol, Gasoline, Diesel, Gas, Automotive, Prices, Oil

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The appointment of Senator John Kerry as your climate change czar is a clear sign to the market that U.S Energy producers and manufacturers will be sold out to foreign interest in the interest of globalism and saving the planet. The U.S is to be penalized for its economic success that has led the world and now will have to take a backseat to develop economies. At the same time, countries like China's manufacturers prosper in reparations because they could not pollute as much in the past because of their former communist and socialist economic system. The good news is energy traders might have some great opportunities, but if the Republicans lose the Senate, expect to give most of those profits back to the government.

Also, a presumed dovish Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen means the likelihood of a weaker dollar that may help our exports but will mean higher oil prices. 

Oil prices hit an eight-month high on all of the excitement and have broken out; as we wrote, we felt that oil was in the process of bottoming for a seasonal low, and that has played out. Oil is breaking out, suggesting not only a much tighter market but expectations of a much faster demand recovery than had been previously priced in because of the COVID 19 plague. Project "warp speed" and the success with a viable vaccine on the horizon has shocked energy bears and has them reassessing the world around them. Reuters points out that the Brent crude six-month calendar spread moved into backwardation yesterday for the first time since March 2. Backwardation is both a symptom and a cause of the anticipated drawdown in oil inventories next year.

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