Friday, November 8, 2019 5:19 AM EDT
BITCOIN PRICE OUTLOOK
Bitcoin is testing its recent lows as a range of technical indicators begin to weigh on the cryptocurrency. The recently supportive 200-day moving average is now under threat and a close below here – currently at $9,183 – would produce a short-term negative signal. The price is also pushing back through a cluster of recent lows and a break and close below the October 26 low at $8,890 would be another bearish sign.
This October 26 low is also important as it is part of a gap on the chart between the October 25 high at $8.870 and the previously mentioned October 26 low at $8,890. For Bitcoin to turn bullish again, this gap needs to be filled. One mildly bullish signal comes from the 20-dma crossing above the 50-dma, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
If Bitcoin does turn lower, then a re-test of the October 23 multi-month low at $7,300 may occur although with pockets of support all the way down, this low may prove to difficult to achieve. A break above the 200-dma leaves a retrace back to $9,930 as the first target.
BITCOIN (BTC) DAILY PRICE CHART (JUNE – NOVEMBER 8, 2019)
(Click on image to enlarge)
IG Client Sentiment shows that how traders are positioned in a wide range of assets and markets. Retail customers are 80% net-long Bitcoin, a bearish contrarian bias. However, recent daily and weekly positional shifts give us a bullish outlook.
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