Friday, November 22, 2019 7:32 AM EDT
BITCOIN (BTC) – PREPARING FOR THE NEXT LEG LOWER?
We have warned over the last couple of weeks that Bitcoin (BTC) was looking weak and that a breakout from its restrictive range/s was on the cards. Various technical indicators have been flashing warning signals and on Thursday the market finally gave way and slumped all the way down to the $7,400 area.
The daily chart shows the short-term and long-term outlook for Bitcoin diverging with the market currently looking over-sold, using the CCI indicator. This may see prompt a short-term up tick, but the overall sentiment is still seemingly negative and with little in the way of strong support, lower prices are likely. The downtrend off the late-June high at $13,850 is now back in play after the recent break-out and if this trendline resumes its resistance, then BTC sentiment will remain negative.
The recent multi-month low on the October 23 candle at just over $7,300 remains the first level of support but a break and close below here could see BTC slide below $7,000 and back to the $6,400 - $6,500 area. We identified the death cross formation – 50-dma trading down through the 200-dma – a couple of weeks ago and it now looks likely that the 20-dma will drop below the 50-dma, highlighting the short-term weakness in the market. With Bitcoin trading available on a 24/7 basis, this weekend’s price action will be interesting to watch.
BITCOIN (BTC) DAILY PRICE CHART (MAY – NOVEMBER 22, 2019)
(Click on image to enlarge)
IG Client Sentiment shows that retail traders are 86% net-long Bitcoin, a bearish contrarian bias.
Disclaimer: DailyFX, the free news and research website of leading forex and CFD broker FXCM, delivers up-to-date analysis of the ...
more
Disclaimer: DailyFX, the free news and research website of leading forex and CFD broker FXCM, delivers up-to-date analysis of the fundamental and technical influences driving the currency and commodity markets. With nine internationally-based analysts publishing over 30 articles and producing 5 video news updates daily, DailyFX offers in-depth coverage of price action, predictions of likely market moves, and exhaustive interpretations of salient economic and political developments. DailyFX is also home to one of the most powerful economic calendars available on the web, complete with advanced sorting capabilities, detailed descriptions of upcoming events on the economic docket, and projections of how economic report data will impact the markets. Combined with the free charts and live rate updates featured on DailyFX, the DailyFX economic calendar is an invaluable resource for traders who heavily rely on the news for their trading strategies. Additionally, DailyFX serves as a portal to one the most vibrant online discussion forums in the forex trading community. Avoiding market noise and the irrelevant personal commentary that plague many forex blogs and forums, the DailyFX Forum has established a reputation as being a place where real traders go to talk about serious trading.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on dailyfx.com are provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. Dailyfx will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
less
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.