Professor Emeritus, Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

Professor Peter Morici is a recognized expert on economic policy and international economics. Prior to joining the university, he served as director of the Office of Economics at the U.S. International Trade Commission. He is the author of 18 books and monographs and has published widely in ... more


Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of July 4 And July 11
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 27 And July 4
Predicting some numbers for upcoming data releases.
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 20 And 27
My expectations for upcoming data releases, including Case/Shiller, GDP.
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 13 And June 20
My expectations for upcoming data releases, including PPI, Retail Sales, NY Fed Manufacturing Index, and FMOC.
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 6 And June 13
Prognosticating upcoming data releases, including Core CPI, Retail Sales, and FMOC.
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 30 And June 6
My projections for upcoming data releases include Case-Shiller, Non-Farm Payrolls.


AIG American International Group Inc
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
BP BP p.l.c.
C Citigroup Inc.
GM General Motors Company
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Google)
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
IYH iShares Dow Jones U.S. Healthcare Sector Index Fund



Latest Posts
Powell And Biden Are Rolling The Dice On Inflation And Growth
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and President Joe Biden are rolling the dice on runaway inflation and slow growth.   
Fed Chairman Powell Is Delusional About Inflation
The Fed's criteria for raising interest rates have been met and ignored.
Benefits Of Free Trade Versus Team Biden’s Protectionism
Free trade is no different than California, specializing in high tech, and New York in finance. It permits nations to focus on what they do best.
Powell And Biden Stifle Growth, Gamble On Inflation
Chairman Powell and President Biden are rolling the dice on runaway inflation and slow growth.  
The Politically Influenced Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve has become a decadent institution. If it does not scale back easy-money policies soon, Americans risk a deep recession or at least stagflation.
Preliminary Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of August 9 And 16
Here are my preliminary forecasts for upcoming economic data for the weeks of August 9 and August 16, 2021. Look for the complete version this weekend.
America’s Baby Drought Poses A Risk To Our Prosperity And Security
The COVID pandemic has hit women in the workplace hard. They serve in many public-facing positions that were at least temporarily lost, and school closures exacerbated already difficult child-care challenges.
Powell And The Fed Are Enabling The Biden Inflation
President Joe Biden’s budget deficits threaten to ignite the kind of inflation that followed the Vietnam War and Great Society, and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell appears content to enable him.

Work Experience

Economist and Professor of Business
University of Maryland
1996 - Present (26 years 11 months)
Director of Economics
U.S. Internaitonal Trade Commission
1993 - 1995 (2 years 7 months)


State University of New York at Albany
1970 / 1974


Currency Manipulation and Free Trade
Peter Morici
Peter Morici
The Doha Round
Peter Morici
Nucor Corporation