Menzie Chinn

Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin
Contributor's Links: Econbrowser University of Wisconsin
Menzie David Chinn is a professor of public affairs and economics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison. He, along with James Hamilton, are co-authors of Econbrowser, a weblog on current macroeconomic issues. Menzie received a PhD in economics from the ...more
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Inflation: A Decomposition To Profits, Unit Costs
Monday, June 5, 2023 2:36 PM EDT
The price of real gross value added for the nonfinancial corporate business sector is not a typically cited deflator. It’s useful to compare against CPI and PCE deflator.
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The Reliability Of Employment Measures From CES
Sunday, June 4, 2023 5:30 PM EDT
Alternate measures of conceptually similar to NFP and private NFP continue to rise.
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Business Cycle Indicators At June’s Start: Where’s The Recession?
Saturday, June 3, 2023 5:30 PM EDT
GDP growth seems to be maintaining momentum. However, other measures of aggregate output have trended sideways or downward.
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Capture And Ideology, Debt Ceiling Edition
Monday, May 29, 2023 4:43 AM EDT
What ideological proxy would one use for the coming debt ceiling vote? Here’s my view: Bitcoin holdings, say a year before the vote. Some people might expect a meltdown associated with a debt default, and so stock up on bitcoin.
In this article: BITCOMP
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Aggregate Demand Vs. Income: Sometimes An Important Distinction
Sunday, May 28, 2023 12:10 AM EDT
I think it useful to consider our best estimates of both output/income and aggregate demand, when thinking about where the economy is going.
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Conflicting Signals For Coincident Macro Indicators At End-May
Friday, May 26, 2023 9:27 PM EDT
Monthly indicators of employment, consumption, personal income (ex-transfers) are all rising in April. But GDO and GDP+ show a decline for 2022Q4 and 2023Q1.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

FXE Euro Currency Trust
UDN PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
UUP PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
XHB SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

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PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts
For These Trying Times
If you despair of the administration bringing us safely through this test, then let this provide some hope.
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Victory At Sea: Soybeans Heading To China (from Brazil)
Nearest month futures are about a dollar lower (at $9.34/bushel) than the nearest month futures on the day when Trump announced Section 301 action against China.
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“Differences In And Consistency Of Excess Mortality Estimates In Puerto Rico After Hurricane Maria”
Excess deaths in PR through year end, those recorded by the Statistics Office, numbered only 654. Most of these occurred in the last ten days of September and the whole of October.
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37 Years Ago Today: “It’s Because Of You Little Motherf**kers That We’re Out Of Work!”
On this day, in 1982,at the height of the hysteria focused on competition from Japan, two unemployed auto workers chased down Vincent Chin — celebrating his bachelor’s party — and beat him to death.
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45 Years Of Nominal Soybean Prices
Chart covering 45 years of nominal soybean prices.
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Work Experience

Education

University of California, Berkeley
PhD
Economics

Publications