Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin
Contributor's Links: Econbrowser University of Wisconsin

Menzie David Chinn is a professor of public affairs and economics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison. He, along with James Hamilton, are co-authors of Econbrowser, a weblog on current macroeconomic ... more


Globalization And Inflation Risks
In a globalized American economy, are domestic determinants (e.g., US output gap) the only important factors?
“The” Stock Market
The Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index is the broadest stock market index of publicly traded American corporations.
No To: “The Stock Market Which Doubled Under Trump”
There are many people whose brains are “data-free zones”, and this comment is one example of the resulting exposition.
Business Cycle Indicators As Of February 17
The goods production side of the economy continues to recover while other indicators faltered.
Rising Expected Inflation… To About 2%
The Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) February release and the January five-year breakeven inflation rate suggest accelerating inflation – up to about 2.1%-2.2%.
The Dollar Depreciates – And That’s A Good Thing
Interesting to note that the dollar has declined in tandem with economic policy uncertainty, as measured by the Baker, Bloom & Davis index (and predicted by historical correlations).


FXE Euro Currency Trust
UDN PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
UUP PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
XHB SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR



Latest Posts
For These Trying Times
If you despair of the administration bringing us safely through this test, then let this provide some hope.
Victory At Sea: Soybeans Heading To China (from Brazil)
Nearest month futures are about a dollar lower (at $9.34/bushel) than the nearest month futures on the day when Trump announced Section 301 action against China.
“Differences In And Consistency Of Excess Mortality Estimates In Puerto Rico After Hurricane Maria”
Excess deaths in PR through year end, those recorded by the Statistics Office, numbered only 654. Most of these occurred in the last ten days of September and the whole of October.
37 Years Ago Today: “It’s Because Of You Little Motherf**kers That We’re Out Of Work!”
On this day, in 1982,at the height of the hysteria focused on competition from Japan, two unemployed auto workers chased down Vincent Chin — celebrating his bachelor’s party — and beat him to death.
45 Years Of Nominal Soybean Prices
Chart covering 45 years of nominal soybean prices.

Work Experience


University of California, Berkeley