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Blogger at Political Calculations
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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ...more

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Turbulence Signaled By S&P 500 Dividend Futures Arrives
The amount of dividends expected to be paid out by S&P 500 firms during 2024-Q3 has decreased, falling from $17.82 to $17.72 during the last four weeks
Teen Employment Numbers Improve In March 2024
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, teen employment surged in March 2024.
Campbell's Tomato Soup Price Resumes Inflationary Rise
Inflationary price increases have resumed for Campbell's Tomato Soup.
S&P 500 Sees More Fallout From Delayed Rate Cut Expectations
The repercussions of delayed rate cuts continued to shake out in the U.S. stock market in the past week. Overall, the S&P 500 dropped a little over 1.5% from where it ended the previous week to close at 5,123.41 on Friday, 12 April 2024.
CO2 Emissions Rising Rapidly As China, India Boost Coal Consumption
China, the world's biggest consumer of coal and the world's biggest producer of carbon dioxide emissions is pushing to grow its economy.
New Home Prices Fall, Still Unaffordable For Most American Households
In February 2024, the median new home price sold in the United States fell to $400,500.
Spring 2024 Snapshot Of The S&P 500's Market Cap
The first quarter of 2024 has come and gone. Before it did, the S&P 500 clocked a new record high of 5,254.35.
Dividends By The Numbers In March 2021 And 2024-Q1
The first quarter of 2024 continued following the template set during 2023 for dividend paying stocks in the U.S. stock market.
Median Household Income In February 2024
According to Motio Research, median household income dipped in February 2024. The firm's estimate of February 2024's median household income is $77,265, a small decrease of $132 (-0.2%) from the firm's initial estimate of $77,397 for January 2024.
S&P 500 Closes Its Best Quarter Since 2019 At Record High
The S&P 500 has risen by just over 10% in value since 2023-Q4 ended, largely propelled by expectations the Federal Reserve would be cutting interest rates in 2024.
U.S. New Home Market Shrinks Again In February 2024
The size of the U.S. new home market as measured by its market capitalization shrank for the fifth month in a row.
Gold Prices And The Fed
The demand for gold, the amount of gold in the central bank reserves, the value of the U.S. dollar, and the desire to hold gold as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation all help drive the price of the precious metal.
S&P 500 Rockets To New High As Fed Confirms Rate Cuts Are Coming
With the Fed's first rate cut expected in June 2024, investors have locked their forward looking focus on the current quarter of 2024-Q2 in setting current day stock prices.
Small Changes In Trends For U.S. Teen Employment
Looking at the most current trends, we find some small changes developing for the teen employment situation in the United States.
Quarterly S&P 500 Dividend Futures Rise, Signal Potential Turbulence Ahead
If you want to explain why the S&P 500 has been rising, you don't have to look far beyond how the expectations investors have for the index' dividends have been changing over the last several months.
U.S. Recession Probability Nears A Double-Top
The odds the U.S. economy will see a recession start at some time in the next twelve months continued to rise during the past six weeks.
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