Gary D. Halbert | TalkMarkets | Page 1
Founder and CEO of Halbert Wealth Management
Gary has been in the investment business for over 40 years and is the President and CEO of Halbert Wealth Management, Inc., a registered investment advisor whose goal is to help clients invest with sophisticated strategies that provide the same edge enjoyed by many major institutional investors.

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Inverted Yield Curve – A True Recession Predictor?
In recent decades an inverted yield curve – when short-term interest rates are higher than long-term rates – has often preceded recessions.
Why Homeowners Insurance Premiums Are Soaring
The home insurance industry’s behavior is negatively impacting Americans, fueling inflation, reducing affordable housing options, and encouraging dishonest practices in the home repair industry.
Government Shutdown Looming – We’ve Seen This Movie Before
At least a partial government shutdown will occur this weekend, with many government agencies laying off workers temporarily next week, or asking employees to work without pay until new funding is passed to keep the government operating
Biden Claims He Created 13.5 Million Jobs – Simply Not True
The average middle-class household has lost over $33,000 in real wealth in just the past year.
Rising Food Stamp Use - Much Higher Grocery Prices
Overall spending on SNAP more than doubled between 2019 and 2022, according to findings from the Foundation for Government Accountability (FGA). It went from $4.5 billion in 2019 to $11 billion in 2022.
More Than 1 In 3 Households Struggle To Pay Bills
Recent government surveys reveal millions of working Americans believe they are worse off than they were in January 2021 when Biden first entered the White House.
Forecasters Softening Views On Recession In 2023
Many forecasters are having to rethink their predictions for a recession this year.
Economic And Market Outlook – Still No Recession
Recession has not arrived yet, as government fiscal policy is still stimulative; real interest rates are not yet restrictive (the nominal yield on Treasury bills remains below nominal GDP growth).
Federal Tax Revenues Are Plunging In Biden Economy – Why?
A recession is not the most likely scenario for the US economy this year.
2023 A Great Year For Stocks So Far… But
Nearly 80% of this year’s stock market gain was delivered by only five of the largest companies in America.
Fed Left Interest Rates Unchanged, No Surprise
The financial markets fully expect at least one more interest rate hike, so nothing the Fed or Chairman Powell said this week came as a surprise.
U.S. Factories Booming, But Worker Shortage Persists
This is not just a problem for manufacturers. It is much more widespread. There are hiring shortages in numerous industries today.
Inflation Has Eroded Household & Business Confidence
While inflation has taken a toll on household and small business confidence over the last year, consumer spending which accounts for over two-thirds of economic growth, remains solid.
U.S. Debt Limit Coming Faster Than Expected
A default on some of our debt, for the first time ever, would precipitate a financial crisis and chaos in the markets.
Another Debt Ceiling Showdown – They Just Never Learn
The threat of a US default on its debt is always unsettling to the financial markets, even though everyone knows what the ultimate outcome will be. This time will likely be no different.
Economy On Solid Ground Or Headed For Recession?
While overall inflation looks likely to continue to tick down further, it is very unlikely to fall to the level the Fed wants it.
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