Great article and Agree

Here is the link.

www.talkmarkets.com/.../dismal-data--inverting-yields-signal-a-recession

I just wrote an article also discussing the divergence. To me its more the Bond market vs the Fed. Bond investors expecting deflation and recession and disbelieving the Feds optimism for inflation and higher growth.

I also use the recent data showing falling loan origination markets...

If the Fed continues hiking and long term rates keep falling as economic data worsens, we're looking at an inverted yield curve. Which almost certainly will mean a recession.

Good article Sir.

Well done article

Only that mining equities were overvalued

Great interview - well done. Always a pleasure to hear Jayant's insight. But I must say I disagree with him on this one.

Very good work - it's ridiculous the imbalance between people's perceptions of gold and its reality

excellent article - a very good source of "real" data that major media hubs are absent of showing.

I think of it as more of a carefully approached speculation, similar to chess, about the only options the Fed has.

Recession is here this they need to cut/go negative/QE

Or they try to not embarrass themselves after touting how well the economy is doing, warranting a rate hike, and keep the hikes going to keep confidence in them - and plunge he economy into a great recession.

Either or both roads lead to the same path.

I also dont think it is the sole reason either.

But mentioning China, they had a similar volatile and our markets also plunged in August, just as the crowd as positive the Fed would hike rates - then they didnt and markets rocketed.

The data is clear, we are in a recession.

Alot of the issues you just named are symptoms of a strong dollar in my opinion (or atleast the strong dollar added to the damage).