Prices Are Skyrocketing, But Only For Things You Actually Need
The way that economic data is presented, we often think of inflation as a singular number representing a general increase in prices.
For example, it might be reported that nominal GDP growth was 3%, and that inflation was 2%. Since the inflation represents a rise in price levels, we subtract it from the nominal rate to get a real GDP growth of 1%.
But in reality, as Visual Capitalist's Jeff Desjardins explains, price changes do not affect products and services in such a uniform and simple fashion. In the above example, all goods aren’t increasing in price at a 2% rate – that’s just an average. What really happens is that there is a full spectrum of price changes: some goods end up falling in price, while other goods get more expensive.
Courtesy of: Visual Capitalist
What's actually getting more expensive?
This week’s chart looks at the change in prices of consumer goods since 1996, using data provided by Mark J. Perry of AEI’s Carpe Diem blog.
Here’s his original chart, which is also very telling:
The average price increase, as shown by the CPI (Consumer Price Index), is 55% over the last 20 years. Meanwhile, the prices of individual sub-categories have a much wider variance.
The good news is that the price of technology is generally getting cheaper. Software, TVs, wireless, and new cars have all come down in price relative to the CPI. Clothing, toys, and furniture are also way more affordable than they were 20 years ago.
The bad news? Most of the above items are not the ones that really matter to most of us. The things we actually need to live healthy and fruitful lives – education, food, healthcare, childcare, and housing – are all skyrocketing in cost.
Tuition costs have soared 197%. Textbooks have more than tripled in price, going up 207% since 1996.
Taking care of our loved ones is more expensive. Healthcare and childcare costs have risen almost as much: 105% and 122% respectively.
Meanwhile, basic necessities such as shelter and food have increased at rates higher than the CPI as well. Housing costs are 61% higher and food is 64% more expensive.
Disclosure: None.
These items are a small sample of prices. For instance, the past 20 years I have been producing construction cost estimates and every new construction season we will add 10% to every item pertaining to a construction project. This has a huge affect on construction projects and jobs. As you can see asphalt or concrete curb is not listed in the CPI.
When I see articles about Caterpillar not selling big equipment the first reaction from economists is deflation, when in fact it is a symptom of inflation. The higher construction costs the fewer the projects. Econ 101.
Thanks for sharing your expertise on this. You make an excellent point.
Very interesting read. Interesting how it's the things we actually do need that are shooting up in cost...funny how that works isn't it.