Core CPI Surprise And FOMC Odds
September 12, 2026
Core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, exceeding consensus estimates and sparking concerns over persistent inflation.
The ECB hiked its deposit rate to 2.5% as an insurance move against volatile energy prices.
Markets price in a 60% chance of a September Fed rate hike following a blowout August jobs report.
Inflation and labor data signal the Federal Reserve must hike rates toward 5%.
S&P 500 earnings are projected to grow 23% in Q3, extending a 12-quarter winning streak as revisions broaden across eight sectors.
Rising inflation and deficits are pushing global bond yields higher, with the US 10-year Treasury hitting 4.42%.
September 12, 2026
Core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, exceeding consensus estimates and sparking concerns over persistent inflation.
September 11, 2026
A weekly market brief highlights rising oil and Treasury yields, a range-bound S&P 500, and diverging sector strength, with semiconductors and technology holding up while biotech, industrials, financials and retail show weakness.
September 11, 2026
Gold and silver face near-term weakness from rising yields, but the analyst sees a potential bottom around a Fed hike and expects gold stocks to outperform as the secular precious-metals bull market continues.
September 11, 2026
In this video lesson, I review the current condition of the overall market, a few long positions, and why it's been so difficult to get size with any conviction in a very long time, and analyze a new long position following a great ER.
September 11, 2026
Gold investment is rebounding as capital inflows into major ETFs like SPDR Gold Shares and iShares Gold Trust signal a new bullish upleg.
September 11, 2026
Adobe shares fell as Q3 results failed to shake the "AI loser" narrative and a clunky CEO transition rattled investors.
September 11, 2026
Core CPI surprised at 0.29% in August, driven by one-off spikes in communication costs.
September 11, 2026
GSK signed an eight-year deal with Varaha to purchase 500,000 carbon removal credits via regenerative agriculture in India.
September 11, 2026
Oil prices dropped on suspicious profit-taking as energy concerns threaten Western economies amid escalating global conflicts. Gold and silver saw a modest recovery while Bitcoin remained stable despite a volatile dollar.
September 11, 2026
Consumer sentiment fell in September as inflation expectations rose, extending a downward trend in economic confidence.
September 11, 2026
Extreme market correlation is silencing sector rotations despite a strong advance-decline line. With Energy decoupling from oil to follow the S&P 500, investors face risks as stop-losses may fail during unified market moves.
September 11, 2026
WTI crude oil fell toward $97.00 as Gulf ministers seek a shipping deal in the Strait of Hormuz to ease supply tensions.
September 11, 2026
The Japanese Yen surged as the US Dollar’s inflation bounce evaporated, pulling USD/JPY toward the 153.70 level.
September 11, 2026
Persistent inflation may force the Fed to raise interest rates, driving demand for defensive consumer staples.